Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.014403 4.652826 5.326429 6.086915 6.918431 7.796931 8.792139
2024-12-29 3.195157 4.100190 5.118208 6.334590 7.734989 9.283921 11.113710
2025-01-05 2.602760 3.673055 4.948771 6.549162 8.471308 10.675490 13.363581
2025-01-12 2.111831 3.270564 4.729781 6.642955 9.026977 11.845142 15.372681
2025-01-19 1.675306 2.855782 4.426581 6.574960 9.344716 12.709286 17.017836
2025-01-26 1.402917 2.612001 4.302000 6.698630 9.876856 13.823574 18.969615
2025-02-02 1.181725 2.401025 4.187995 6.808687 10.373574 14.887267 20.865356
2025-02-09 0.934757 2.104083 3.912717 6.664481 10.510354 15.479346 22.166810
2025-02-16 0.735505 1.844870 3.657927 6.517712 10.619022 16.019079 23.394521
2025-02-23 0.604856 1.678744 3.523424 6.525815 10.926821 16.813207 24.950575
2025-03-02 0.476957 1.488339 3.325092 6.417269 11.055139 17.359664 26.182952
2025-03-09 0.427298 1.446454 3.367952 6.674716 11.707549 18.618970 28.365875
2025-03-16 0.349217 1.326990 3.267911 6.707538 12.043802 19.468911 30.043243
2025-03-23 0.317804 1.309561 3.348319 7.031908 12.817971 20.936975 32.571529
2025-03-30 0.282389 1.273441 3.389357 7.291289 13.499964 22.287887 34.961349
2025-04-06 0.237187 1.198201 3.346785 7.406076 13.963085 23.337382 36.955286
2025-04-13 0.183813 1.079850 3.204263 7.339346 14.141262 23.982410 38.402106
2025-04-20 0.154461 1.024377 3.181969 7.475759 14.633022 25.077793 40.476508
2025-04-27 0.128490 0.969393 3.153214 7.595856 15.097801 26.137102 42.508981
2025-05-04 0.092204 0.855032 2.978988 7.441112 15.117356 26.547337 43.640471
2025-05-11 0.063943 0.750964 2.810962 7.283144 15.120723 26.927367 44.727881
2025-05-18 0.047766 0.690040 2.735558 7.292038 15.391943 27.701883 46.375163
2025-05-25 0.031744 0.610444 2.600365 7.174987 15.447617 28.152576 47.564762